Our Take: IMPACT 2026 Predictions
As we look ahead to 2026, carbon markets and climate finance more broadly are moving from
a period of rebuilding to one of structural reshaping. COP30 in Belém concluded with limited
political progress, yet markets themselves continue to evolve through integrity reforms, the
expansion of compliance frameworks, rapid shifts in impact investing, major new blendedfinance initiatives, and increased flows of private capital into transition and resilience solutions.
Drawing on developments across 2025, we outline our predictions for 2026 across our six
IMPACT pillar framework.
IMPACT stands for – Integrity, Momentum, Prices, Achievement, Collaboration, and Targets.
